Nymex Light Crude is still testing support at $50/barrel. Follow-through above $52 would signal another advance, with a target of $54/barrel. Reversal below $49 and the rising trendline, however, would warn of trend weakness. A primary up-trend would be bearish for the Dollar and bullish for gold.
The Dollar Index bear market rally found resistance at 94 and is now retracing to find support. Breach of primary support at 91 would signal another major decline. Respect, on the other hand, would suggest that a base is forming.
Spot Gold underwent a deep correction but is now rallying as the Dollar stalls. Political tensions remain high, both within the White House and without, and the Dollar remains in a bear market. Breakout above $1300 would reflect strong upward pressure, suggesting another test of $1350. Retreat from $1300 is not necessarily bearish. Respect of support at $1250 would suggest that a base is forming. Breach of $1250, on the other hand, would warn that the primary up-trend that started in early 2017 is weakening.
Target 1300 + ( 1300 – 1200 ) = 1400