Gold surges above $1300

A weak Dollar and rising geo-political tensions over North Korea are bullish for gold which surged through resistance at $1300/ounce. Target for the advance is $1400*. Rising Twiggs Trend Index confirms buying pressure. Reversal below $1250 is now most unlikely but would warn of another test of primary support at $1200.

Spot Gold

Target 1300 + ( 1300 – 1200 ) = 1400

The Dollar Index continues to test support between 92 and 93.

Dollar Index

*Target: 93 – ( 103 – 93 ) = 83

But the Dollar is falling fast against China’s Yuan. Breach of primary support at 6.60 and decline of the Trend Index below zero both signal a primary down-trend.

USDCNY

*Target: 93 – ( 103 – 93 ) = 83

Another major influence on gold is crude oil prices. Softer crude prices are bearish for gold but the latest decline is finding more support than the preceding three. Recovery above the downward channel and resistance at $50/barrel would signal a fresh advance.

Nymex Light Crude

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