From Bob Lefsetz:
….the truth is the data doesn’t lie.
Oh yes it does, you say! Numbers can be manipulated to say whatever you want them too, you can’t trust polls! Which is why [Nate] Silver aggregates them, and we can argue with interpretation, but raw data counts. And what the data says is Donald Trump has high unfavorables. He might have 20+% of the electorate today, but when the losers drop out are their followers going to decamp to Trump? Not according to the data. Which also tells us this far out the polls are nearly meaningless.
So you can ignore the Trump show. It’s gonna get canceled.