S&P 500: Dead cat bounce?

After Friday’s narrow consolidation between 1970 and 1990, S&P 500 September 2015 E-mini futures broke support at 1970, indicating moderate selling pressure.

S&P 500 September 2015 E-mini

Sound domestic economic performance is likely to ensure that the S&P 500 returns to its primary up-trend in the medium- to long-term, but upheaval in international financial markets may have sapped investor confidence in the short- to medium-term. The doji star on the daily chart reflects indecision. A close below 1970 would suggest another test of support at 1870, with respect of resistance at 2000 a bearish sign. A 21-day Twiggs Money Flow peak below zero would also warn of selling pressure. Follow-through above 2000 is less likely, but would indicate light selling and a snappy recovery.

S&P 500

NYSE volumes reflect the increase in activity, starting Friday August 21st, with daily volumes over 2 billion and short sales jumping to 800 million. It will be worth keeping an eye on short sales this week. Recovery above 600 million would warn of rising selling pressure.

NYSE Daily Volume & Short Sales

One thought on “S&P 500: Dead cat bounce?

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s