Treasury yields surge but Dollar falls

10-year Treasury yields broke through resistance at 2.25%, offering a medium-term target of 2.65%*. Breakout above primary resistance at 3.00% is remote at present, but would signal the end of the secular down-trend (bull market in bonds). It appears that bond investors are reducing their exposure in anticipation of this occurring. Expect retracement to test the new support level at 2.25%; respect would confirm the breakout. Rising 13-week Twiggs Momentum above zero also strengthens the signal.

10-Year Treasury Yields

* Target calculation: 2.25 + ( 2.25 – 1.85 ) = 2.65

The Dollar Index is retreating despite rising bond yields. Declining 13-Week Twiggs Momentum warns of a test of primary support at 93. Breach of medium-term support at 95 would strengthen the signal. Respect is less likely, but would suggest another test of 100.

Dollar Index

One thought on “Treasury yields surge but Dollar falls

  1. […] Treasury yields surge but Dollar falls […]

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